Just to reiterate the point that Hanna was a big rain producer for NC.. here is an observed precipitation map for the event.
This is very surprising in that the right quadrant of the storm actually contained less rain then did the left. The eye passed up the I-95 corridor. Hanna was thoroughly disrupted in the Bahamas due to strong shear. She never really regained organization true to what a hurricane would be so apart of me feels she continued to struggle even just before landfall when some signs of organization were found from recon aircraft. The west side of the storm typically has weaker winds and that was definitely what occurred with Hanna. After landfall, whatever core there was collapsed fairly rapidly and the winds weakened.
Ike is now becoming a concern to the western Gulf Coast of the United States specifically for Texas. Below are some of the more sophisticated tropical models and their tracks that were recently just run with data current as of 8pm.
One must not focus on the specific lines, but focus on the consensus of where they are tracking Ike...somewhere into Texas or northwest Louisiana. Intensity will also remain a concern as most models show an environment in the Gulf of Mexico that will be conducive to strengthening regardless of how what condition he is in once he emerges in the Gulf. Take the 8 am model run of the European Global Model. It has an extremely intense storm crashing into the Gulf Coast of Texas near or south of Houston. Note that global models often have trouble with tropical cyclones and usually miss how low the pressure is by a large margin. Interesting times are ahead yet again, but the good news is that the rest of the Tropical Atlantic is quiet and it may stay that way for quite some time.
8am European Global Model Valid 8am Saturday 9/13/08
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