I have not posted since Sunday since I have been extremely busy and had to buy a new laptop battery and charger. Most importantly, nothing has changed since Sunday. There still remains a great deal of uncertainty in what will play out this weekend. There is a well defined circulation just off the coast of Georgia and Florida. It is over the gulf stream so it need to be watched closely as it appears possible that it could become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm by this weekend. Regardless, the track of this circulation will be key to sensible weather in central NC this weekend.
If the circulation tracks up the coast then we may see a scattered shower or thunderstorm here but will mainly stay hot. If the circulation tracks more inland, then we stand a good chance of getting wet this weekend. Of course this would be a welcome scenario but right now model forecasts do not predict the circulation to come inland, rather move along the coast taking most of its precipitation and keeping it along and east of I-95. A stronger storm will of course change these scenarios but right now it does not appear that it will get too strong. In sum, we are a day away from the weekend and there are still major questions that need to be answered regarding sensible weather this weekend. In looking at a radar loop of the circulation, it looks to me that it actually is moving westward towards the coast instead on a more north track. Interesting to see if this continues or not.
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