Fay Going Where?

Tropical Storm has been a disorganized tropical cyclone since Friday as it passed through the Dominican Republic and Haiti. Fay is now just south of Cuba and is projected to begin turning west north west and northwest towards Florida. The big question then becomes how strong does Fay get after it re-emerges in the Gulf of Mexico and where does she eventually make U.S. landfall. Computer model forecasts have been extremely unstable where one day they are pushing Fay up into the Appalachians after landfall near Tampa Florida. The next day they are showing a landfall on the panhandle of Florida then slowing down as Fay meanders up into the southeast. Oh and not to mention there are models showing Fay turning NE back into the Atlantic and then making a second landfall on the east coast of the U.S near South Carolina or Georgia.

If the remnants of Fay do in fact move up into GA, SC, and NC, and her remnant circulation is west or south west of NC, then a much needed rainfall event will set up for several days as the flow regime will remain slow due to a a strong surface high setting up off the NE coast of the US. So whatever is left of Fay will meander somewhere over the SE US. Let it be known rain her in NC is by no means guaranteed.
Ill have more on Fay this week as hopefully things become a little clearer but right now expect a lot of chaos is the coming days with regards to what exactly we will feel here in NC.