Well my initial thoughts last week on this current heat wave were current. NOTHING spectacular. No one saw a 100 degree reading today and it is very unlikely anyone will Wednesday either. Here are my predicted temperatures and actual observations for Tuesday, August 5. If anything I was slightly too high on my predictions. A high of 96 is nothing uncommon in the summertime in the Triangle area. I did horrible for Charlotte, and was a degree or two off at the rest of the locations. All my predictions were too high.
Raleigh-Durham: Tuesday 98; Actual 96
Greensboro: Tuesday 97; Actual 96
Fayetteville: Tuesday 99; Actual 98
Charlotte: Tuesday 99; Actual 95
To continue what I have been doing during this current heat wave I will make one more set of forecasts for Wednesday. Thursday should be around 90 and could even be slightly lower if there is more cloud cover and precipitation. Big changes appear to be coming with a pattern shift from upper level ridging to a deep upper level trough. As long as all surface features, such as the projected cold front, do not stall over NC we should have delightful summer weather Friday through the weekend. Temperatures will be in the middle to upper 80s during the day and middle 60s at night!
Wednesday Temperature Predictions:
Raleigh-Durham: Wednesday 96
Greensboro: Wednesday 94
Fayetteville: Wednesday 97
Charlotte: Wednesday 96
I will post the actual observations tomorrow night. One note again is that the record high for August 6 at RDU and Greensboro is 97. If tomorrow does in fact decide to be the hottest day of the heat wave, then these records could be in jeopardy, but I think debris clouds from thunderstorm activity to our NW and the chance for some showers and storms to make there way into the state later in the day could put a halt to the mercury rise.
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